Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.182102 0.204081 0.227000 0.252628 0.280427 0.309614 0.342518
2025-02-02 0.158052 0.188674 0.222110 0.261139 0.305246 0.353350 0.409577
2025-02-09 0.136578 0.172496 0.213336 0.262800 0.320655 0.385755 0.464098
2025-02-16 0.120998 0.160845 0.207831 0.266610 0.337425 0.419239 0.520109
2025-02-23 0.111271 0.154833 0.207872 0.276110 0.360418 0.459998 0.585254
2025-03-02 0.097947 0.142814 0.199243 0.273894 0.368424 0.482485 0.628720
2025-03-09 0.087739 0.133684 0.193239 0.274061 0.378704 0.507389 0.675165
2025-03-16 0.078412 0.124751 0.186605 0.272620 0.386345 0.528696 0.717188
2025-03-23 0.072868 0.120457 0.185637 0.278212 0.402820 0.561144 0.773524
2025-03-30 0.066193 0.113887 0.180974 0.278329 0.411757 0.583835 0.817651
2025-04-06 0.060165 0.107687 0.176296 0.277949 0.419685 0.605075 0.860030
2025-04-13 0.054826 0.102025 0.171921 0.277574 0.427321 0.625812 0.901881
2025-04-20 0.050473 0.097718 0.169496 0.280173 0.439587 0.653654 0.954655
2025-04-27 0.048037 0.096278 0.171217 0.288749 0.460369 0.693354 1.023960
2025-05-04 0.044112 0.091988 0.168255 0.290175 0.470921 0.719266 1.075206
2025-05-11 0.041114 0.088989 0.167060 0.294072 0.484984 0.750160 1.133647
2025-05-18 0.039677 0.088596 0.169937 0.304187 0.508257 0.794209 1.210739
2025-05-25 0.035872 0.083541 0.164888 0.301726 0.512816 0.812006 1.251907
2025-06-01 0.032913 0.079754 0.161654 0.301864 0.521087 0.835044 1.300566
2025-06-08 0.029933 0.075614 0.157521 0.300288 0.526580 0.854066 1.343769
2025-06-15 0.028442 0.074274 0.158104 0.306296 0.543692 0.890029 1.411292
2025-06-22 0.026165 0.071090 0.155221 0.306414 0.551619 0.912692 1.460198
2025-06-29 0.024007 0.067922 0.152140 0.306000 0.558592 0.933966 1.507325